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Tuesday, October 20, 2009


Support for Taiwan's immediate independence increases by more than 25%

... in just five months!

UPDATE 2a: The title and subheadline of this post [originally: "Support for Taiwan's immediate independence nearly triples ...in just six months!" -- based on a comparison with the MAC survey quoted below] has been changed to reflect a better comparison with a survey done by the same pollster the month after the MAC poll. Details from that poll and a link to the original are included below in "Update 2b." [/update 2a]

An article from Now News shows that a poll released today by the deep-blue Global Views Magazine (遠見雜誌) has some very interesting numbers related to the desire for Taiwan's formal independence:
民調顯示,19.0%民眾贊成台灣應該儘快獨立、10.3%認應先維持現狀再獨立(急獨與緩獨合計29.3%),40.7%先維持現狀再看情形、 11.0%永遠維持現狀(維持現狀合計為51.7%),4.3%先維持現狀再和大陸統一、4.0%台灣應該儘快和大陸統一(緩統與急統合計為8.3%),與馬總統執政以後,民眾贊成統一的比率並無變動。

[Tim Maddog translation:]
The survey says that 19.0% support independence as soon as possible. 10.3% want to preserve the status quo for now but declare independence later. (Supporters of immediate independence and delayed independence amount to 29.3%.) 40.7% want to preserve the status quo and decide later, while 11% want to preserve the status quo indefinitely (totaling 51.7% in favor of preserving the status quo [sic]). 4.3% want to preserve the status quo but unify with the mainland [sic] later. 4.0% of Taiwanese want to unify with the mainland [sic] as soon as possible. (Those in favor of unification add up to 8.3%.) After President Ma took office, there has been no change in support for unification.
UPDATE 1: Here's a direct link to the latest Global Views survey [464 KB PDF file]. [/update 1]

UPDATE 3: Here's the English version of the Global Views survey [152 KB PDF file]. [/update 3]

Just six month's ago, Taiwan's so-called Mainland Affairs Council (大陸委員會) did a survey which said that "6.7%" supported independence as soon as possible [12 KB PDF file].

A Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) survey from April 17 to 20, 2009 in which only 8.8% state a desire for unification with China
A Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) survey from April 17 to 20, 2009
in which only 8.8% state a desire for Taiwan's unification with China.

UPDATE 2b: A May 13 - 15, 2009 survey from Global Views [744 KB PDF file] says:
[...] 15.0%贊成儘速獨立 [...]

[Tim Maddog translation:]
[...] 15% support immediate independence [...]
The current figure of 19% support for immediate independence would therefore amount to an increase of 26.66% (a four percentage point increase from the earlier 15%). The total support for unification in the May 2009 poll amounted to 8.3% -- precisely the same as the most recent poll. [/update 2b]

China's Chen Yunlin (陳雲林) -- chairman of the Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Strait -- is coming to Taiwan for talks (and possibly to sign agreements) with Straits [sic] Exchange Foundation (海峽交流基金會) chairman and Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) vice-chairman Chiang Pin-kung (江丙坤) this December. Will you be out there protesting?

You are not in the minority. You'd better let the world hear your voices!

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Cross-posted at It's Not Democracy, It's A Conspiracy!

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At 10:01 PM, Blogger habeas said...

I am always intrigued by the news reports which say that Taiwan wants to declare independence.

This is because I can't believe that anyone is serious in promoting such an idea.

The question immediately arises: From whom are the Taiwanese supporters of this "independence" idea going to declare their independence?

From the ROC? But Taiwan doesn't belong to the ROC.

From the PRC? But Taiwan doesn't belong to the PRC.

From Japan? Japan already ceded Taiwan in the post-war treaty, effective April 28, 1952.

Well, then, from whom?


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